Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Nifty for 18 June 2015

Time Tuned Nifty

Time Tuned Nifty for 18 June 2015

Nifty did go on to battle at 8125+5 as perceived in my update yesterday, but bulls were unable to retain the gains in the closing hours.

What could be possible tomorrow during the intraday trade may be as below:

Open to 0940 - A pop to 8110-8120.
1045 to 1100 - A dip to 8030, which may further dip to a level between 7960-7950.
1415 to 1430 - A high, which may go to 8330.

7939 remains the SL for now for bulls.  Any dip to 8030 (or to 7960-50) should be used to go long.

Today's high could be taken as datum by those who wish to ride the dip, not advisable though.

Review  19 Jun 2015 at 0930 hrs

It seems that 8330/8380 will be postponed for another day.  High may be already in place.  8230 could be the extreme and above this, bulls may regain confidence.

Today is 19 Jun 2015, a day of high.  Next low may come on 25 Jun 2015, which may or may not make a new low.  Keeping 8230 as SL and going short.  I must hold till 25th or till 8230 is taken out.

Review  19 Jun 2015 at 1015 hrs

 Shorts may be initiated now or may be held till 1100 hrs, where I will double up my positions in shorts.

Review  25 Jun 2015 at 0850 hrs

The high has not only extended beyond 19 Jun 2015, it has now reached a phase where it may continue higher.  The rise may end on 17 August 2015, with an intermediate high around 04 August.

8315 and 8420 will remain crucial for the respective side move.

Review  02 July 2015 at 0850 hrs

The high of 8480 becomes the key.  If 8435 is breached, a possibility for a dip to 8310-8300 by tomorrow, expectedly at 1030 or later, will emerge.  If 8300 is also taken, the possibility of a test of lows by 15 Jul 2015 will be highly probable.

8435/8300 and 8490 will remain crucial for the respective side move.

Monday, June 15, 2015

Perceptions on 15 Jun 2015

Time Tuned Nifty

Time Tuned Nifty for 15 Jun 2015

Today is 15 Jun 2015 and as expected, Nifty is sitting at the lows of current fall.  7930-7935 could be the immediate support.

WW - The current fall could be the backtest of a WW that was formed in the previous fall to 7997.  In addition, another WW has been completed from 8065 on 07 Jan 2015.  Targets of both WWs are way North of previous high of 9119 and may go above 9800 with possibility to shave off 10K by Aug 2015.

The fall from 9119 may be either complete as a CT, or , it may just be E.a of  this CT with b and c to follow.  Immediate resistances are at 8300 and 8380.  Above these, the rise may pick up pace for re-testing the lifetime highs.

Time-wise 15 Jun 2015 may see an attempt to test the recent low of 7940, which may stall at 7930-7935 band.  If this happens, longs to be initiated for 8300/8380 by 19 Jun 2015 with a tight SL.

On 19 Jun 2015, if Nifty stays below 8380-8400, close all longs and go short.  However, if it crosses 8400 and sustains, cover longs and hold.

Crucial dates-

15 Jun 2015 for a low.

19 Jun 2015 for a high.  Look for 8300/8380/8570

13 July 2015 for a low.  If remains below 8380 on 19 Jun, look for 7670/7500 else look for 8210/8120.

Review 16 Jun 2015

Battle of bulls and bears should now shift to 8125+5 points.  In all likelihood, the bulls should win and push the battle zone higher towards 8380-8400 .  Will they be able to sustain their gains may be clear on 19 Jun 2015.  Bears should hold their horses and bulls should hold their positions.